Leaving Islam



The Iranian Crisis

 By Ali Sina


Danger + Opportunity

The Chinese ideogram for crisis is composed of two separate characters: one means danger and the other means opportunity. 

Today Iran is in crisis. There lies a great danger as well as a great opportunity. 

The Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI) is a great danger to the world peace and your life. The Mullahs ruling Iran are developing atomic bombs and this means disaster for humanity.  

Mohammed Khatami, the so-called reformist and pro-Western Iranian president, announced last week that the Islamic Republic will continue enriching uranium in defiance of a resolution adopted by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) that demanded Iran stop all nuclear-related activity (1)

On October 1, Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati decried the importance of the sanctions that the UN may impose on Iran and told worshippers at Friday prayers in Tehran that possible U.N. sanctions on Iran would make the Islamic republic stronger than ever.

" Iran will never yield to international pressure to abandon its home-grown nuclear technology," said Jannati, who heads Iran 's hardliner Guardian Council -- a powerful, unelected supervisory body.

"Americans should know that it is just impossible. You will take this wish to the grave," Jannati said.(2)

On Monday 27 Sep 2004  Maj. Gen. Rahim Safawi, commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, said   Iran is ready to confront U.S. pressure, including military.

"We advise the Americans and the Europeans to beware of Iran regional weight and capacity and to recognize its rights and importance in the region. We are ready to confront any pressures against us, be they political, economic and even military." Safawi warned. (3)

Mullah’s role in international terrorism is not a secret. Their intentions are well known. If they get hold of atomic bomb, they will certainly use it or give it to the terrorist groups whom they support to use it. This is one threat that the world must not ignore. Nuclearization of the Mullahs means nuclear war worldwide. The Mullahs must be stopped NOW or we will have to prepare ourselves for the next World War. 

Sanctions and UN resolutions don’t work. These are child plays. There are two options to stop the bomb falling in the hands of the terrorist Mullahs. One is to invade Iran militarily and the other is to help the insurgency inside the country to overthrow their hated regime.

Attacking Iran directly has many downsides. The experience in Iraq has not been encouraging. It is unlikely that America or any other country would want to engage in another war.

Such war no matter how "surgical" would produce many civilian casualties and this will alienate the population against the invading force. It would also cause unnecessary damages to the country's infrastructure. This could cause a backlash, provoke anti American sentiment, which would aggravate the problem instead of solving it.

The other option is to empower the insurgency. This is the most viable option. 


The insurgency has already begun. 

On  Sunday  26 September  A rare pro-democracy protest in Tehran gained momentum late on Sunday with hundreds of cars pouring into the streets, blaring horns and provoking an appearance from hardline vigilantes.

Persian-language television channels from the United States had been broadcasting callers throughout the day who had exhorted Iranians to turn out for demonstrations.

Two hundred riot police were drafted into central Tehran earlier in the day when more than 2,000 people started milling round the streets after a minor protest inspired by the U.S.-based channels, witnesses said. (4)

On  Tuesday 28 September w idespread clashes erupted between people and security forces in Nour-Abad region of Mamasani, Bandar Abbas and Miandoab

At least seven people were killed and hundreds more were reportedly wounded and a vast number of people have been detained.

The commander of Miandoab’s security forces and two members of his entourage were killed by a violent crowd which had taken to the streets following revelations of corruption within the clerical establishment. Smoke could be seen rising from the rooftops of many government buildings. Charred debris were visible from burnt vehicles of the State Security Forces (SSF). Townspeople took control over the regime’s security headquarters.

One man was reported to have been killed in one of the ensuing clashes between local residents and SSF forces and Revolutionary Guards sent in from neighboring districts. Many more have been wounded in the street battles.

Also in Bandar Abbas members of the Revolutionary Guards Marine Corps killed 3 persons, according to eye-witnesses. Local residents, outraged by the news of the killings, rioted and attacked the Governors office. (5)


On  Wednesday 29 September, four people were killed and a dozen were injured in northwestern Iran in a clash between a religious sect and the forces of the regime. The group claims that their leader is the promised Shiite Mahdi, the 12th Imam. The Shiites believe Mahdi will appear when the earth is filled with injustice. He will come to kill the antichrist and bring justice to the world. The emergence of such cults among the less educated people is a clear indication of the general discontent even among the hard core Islamists.    

In this confrontation at least 12 police officers were injured and some eight cult members were arrested and three were killed (6)

On October 2 Violent clashes erupted between local residents and the security forces in the city of Isfahan , central Iran. Among the casualties was a 14 year-old schoolboy who reportedly was shot and seriously wounded.

On Thursday, eye-witnesses in nearby Shahin Shahr reported clashes between local people and armed Bassij Forces through the early hours of the day. Residents said that the majority of those who fought against the Bassij Forces were teenagers. 

Sporadic street-battles continued well into the night and in the early hours of Friday morning a government-owned oil storage was set alight along with juggernaut tires in Seyedi Shomali street .

In the past week there have been deadly clashes between angry youths and State Security Forces in the cities of Bandar Abbas and Miandoab and the Nour-Abad region of Mamasani, with seven fatalities.

Analysts say rising discontent and frustration among youth over government-imposed restrictions and widespread unemployment are the main reason for the growing number of public protests across the country. (7)

Cities such as, Tehran, Esfahan, Hamadan, Ardebil, Shiraz, Kermanshah, Ahwaz, Falavarjan, Oroomiah (former Rezai-e) and Yazd were widely affected by these unrests. The most violent clashes have been reported from Esfahan where the crowd attacked public buildings, banks, Islamist centers and patrol cars in retaliation to the brutal attack of militiamen which were sent to stop their public peaceful demonstrations. (8)

The discontent is rampant. According to one poll conducted by the government itself 94% of the Iranians want an end to the Mullahcracy in Iran.


In the next page I'll discuss how to convert the Iranian crisis into opportunity.

  Go to page 2





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