Leaving Islam



On the Eve of the Iraqi Referendum: Two Contrasting Views

By Jacob Thomas


On October 14, the eve of the Referendum regarding the Iraqi Constitution, PBS devoted a segment of Jim Lehrer’s NewsHour, for a discussion of the subject. Four Middle East experts were invited to “debate the referendum's importance to peace and stability in Iraq .”  

The experts were: Dr. Najmaldin Karim, president of the Washington Kurdish Institute; Juan Cole, professor of history at the University of Michigan; Judith Yaphe, a senior fellow at the National Defense University; and Adeed Dawisha, a professor of political science at Miami University of Ohio. Both Najmaldin Karim and Adeed Dawisha, were born in Iraq , and are now US citizens.  

Professor Dawisha dwelt on the importance of the political process. This event, as well as last January elections, involved millions of Iraqis in a process that differed radically from the many “elections” that took place under Saddam.  

Professor Yaphe agreed and added, “I think what Iraqis need is the process, which is very important, which leads them to the next election and a more permanent government, then they can work out the differences.”  

Dr. Najmaldin was very hopeful about the outcome of the referendum. “I believe that you will see that after this referendum in the election in December that you will see greater participation by the Sunnis, and they will come to realize that federalism is actually a way for them to guarantee that they will have self-rule in their area and that there are safeguards as far as getting a share of the national resources.”  

Ray Suarez of PBS turned to Professor Cole and asked, What's your view? His answer was basically at odds with the other three participants. “I'm a pessimist on this process, and I'm a severe critic of this constitution. [It] is full of trapdoors. There will be a provision that says revenues will be shared between the provinces and the federal government. In what way will they be shared? Well, there will be a law passed by subsequent parliament that will determine that.”  

“So in many instances the people who are voting for this constitution have no idea what exactly it is, the substance that they're voting for. The constitution allows provincial confederations which have claims on resources and perhaps on enormous resources.

And then 20 percent of the population, the Sunni-Arab population, seems to be pretty diehard against this constitution; that's going to weaken its legitimacy.”  

So much for the opinions of the experts that were consulted by PBS on Friday, 14 October 2005 . As I was eager to read something on this subject that came from the Middle East itself, I turned to the online daily Al-Sharq al-Awsat. One op-ed article attracted my attention right away. It dealt with the coming referendum in Iraq and had this hard-hitting headline:

“It’s the Constitution’s Opponents who are the People of Discord”  

It was written by Abdel-Rahman al-Rashed, a frequent contributor to the newspaper. I would like to quote several parts of his article, and hope that you will notice the stark difference between his tone, and that of Juan Cole.  

“The “Opponents” [Iraqi Sunnis] asked that the Constitution should differentiate between ordinary Ba’ath party members and the hardened ones; and they got their wish. In order to make them feel quite comfortable, a constitutional committee was appointed to supervise the application of this decision. And when it came to Kurdistan , they asked specifically for Arabic and Kurdish, rather than the vague expression “two languages.” These are the languages of the region; and they got their wish. They demanded that the Constitution affirm that Iraq is an Arab country, and a member of the Arab League; so they got their wish. They asked for an affirmation of the unity of Iraq , so the Constitution stipulates that Iraq is “a unitary state,” exactly as they wanted. They requested that the nationality law should insist that an Iraqi is a person whose father and mother are Iraqis, not merely as one whose mother is Iraqi; so the law was amended to grant them what they wanted. Furthermore, as they did not appreciate the current composition of the Government and the Parliament, they requested that the remaining disputed articles, be dealt with in the future, and they got their wish.”  

“A week before the Referendum, all these demands appeared impossible to grant; but in order to please the “Opponents” and help them join the democratic process, their wishes were granted. The question remains: what was the reason behind all the Opponents’ tactics?”  

“Actually, they belonged to two different groups. One was an anarchist faction whose sole aim was the destruction of the political process, in order to proceed with their destruction of the country. They imagined that they could obtain further concessions by resorting to terrorist acts, and by loudly asking for more concessions, rather than achieve them through the ballot. They obtained those last minute concessions, and thus were emboldened to ask for more.”  

“The second group among the Opposition belongs to an ignorant faction that is leading its people into more problems. Quite likely, should the members of this group persist in their negative stance; they will lose the opportunity to join the total political process which is actually to their advantage. Being a minority [Sunni Arabs are around 20% of the country’s population,] should their vote on the Referendum be ‘no’ they would be spurning the good will of the international community, as well as any United Nations’ protection. These two privileges may not be available to them later on.”  








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