of the world by the year 2501
By: Ramesh R. Desai
(Muslims being 50% of the world population) is an absolute certainty even
prior to year 2501 if the present growth rates of Muslims and non-Muslims
continue for that period.
Islam religion and hence
Muslim population began around 640 AD and now there are 1,300,000,000
Muslims in this world. This
is a historical growth rate of 1.51% per year.
The world population now is 6,137,000,000 and the current growth
rate of the world population is 1.30% per year (Source:
2001 World Population Data Sheet).
At these growth rates, mathematically, it will take 410 years for
Muslim population to be 50% of the world population.
In fact, current growth rates
of many Muslim countries are much greater than 1.51%.
Attached is an excel
spreadsheet which lists 47 countries with Muslim majority and their
populations and growth rate statistics.
The composite growth rate for these 47 countries is 2.00%.
Based 2.00% growth rate of Muslim population v/s 1.3% for the world
it will take only 125 years for Muslims to be 50 % of the world
Therefore if these growth rates continue, mathematically it is a
certainty that the world will be muslimised between 125 and 410 years.
(Of course if these growth
rates continue the world population in 125 years and 410 years will be 30
billion and 1.22 trillion respectively; Muslim population will be 15
billion and 610 billion for the respective periods.
We may say that that is not possible but if some one said the same
thing for the world population of 6.1 billion people 400 years ago he
would have been laughed out of the court, if he was lucky and beheaded if
he was not. In any case if
there are going to be factors which will mitigate the population to what
we guestimate to be a “sustainable” level, there is no reason to
believe that those factors will affect Muslim and non-Muslim populations
differently to change the growth rates and hence percentages.
Therefore, in absence of any other information, the above
conclusion should stand the scientific scrutiny.)
means conversion of a country or a state or a region’s legal system to
Islamic (or Quaranic or Sharia) law.
Islamisation of the world means 50% of the world population living
under Sharia law.
a region is muslimised, Muslims demand for a separate country or a region
for themselves, e.g. Pakistan and Bangladesh and now a demand for
independent Kashmir. Once a country is muslimised, Islamists demand
for Islamic or Quranic or Sharia law.
us take an example of Pakistan. When
it separated from India in 1947 it proclaimed itself a secular state.
The Islamists gradually exerted their influence and in 1988
Pakistan became a Sharia law country.
got its independence in 1971 and now it is sliding towards Sharia law.
Recent election resulted in a government which needed support of
small Islamist parties and within 10 years, I believe, Bangladesh will
become a shria law country.
tendencies are in place in other large Islamic countries such as
Indonesia, Malaysia and Nigeria. In
all of these countries Islamists are demanding and in my opinion will be
successful in making them sharia law countries.
The attached statistical sheet shows a few other countries where
sharia law is inevitable.
such as Turkey and Egypt are trying hard to keep Islamists at bay but
based on Islamist persistence it is doubtful these countries will remain
non-sharia for a long time.
In either case, (whether muslimised or Islamised) the Muslim majority
decimates the minorities by any and every means. Through physical,
social, judicial, financial, legal, extra legal, religious, personal,
familial or brute force duress, they either convert or drive out or kill
Again let us take the example
of Pakistan. In 1947 its
population was about 50,000,000 of which minorities constituted about 25%
or 12,500,000. If minorities
grew at the current world growth rate of 1.3% per year, they should have
now numbered 25,000,000. Instead
the minority population in Pakistan at present is only 2% or 2,700,000!!
In effect, Pakistan converted, drove out or killed 22,300,000
(25,000,000-2,700,000) of non-Muslims in last 55 years.
And the world, amnesty international and similar organization does
not seem to have any problem with that.
Similarly in Bangladesh non-Muslim population has plummeted from 25% to
10% in the same period and therefore there is elimination of 13,000,000
non-Muslims. Not only that, the same annihilation is going on right
now and will not stop until non-Muslims are for all practical purposes
wiped out. That means existing 13,000,000 non-Muslims and their
progeny will not see the light of the day as non-Muslims. See the
table below for historical growth of Muslim population in some countries.
Although these examples are of
recent years this by no means is a recent phenomenon.
In 14th century Indonesia was largely a Buddhist and
Hindu nation. In about 400 years it became a 90% Muslim country.
Similar examples abound in other parts of the world.
Once a nation is muslimised or
Islamised one can be rest assured the minority population only goes down
and therefore the attached list contain many Muslim countries showing more
than 90% Muslim population. One can also be rest assured that due to horrendous apostasy
and other sharia laws non-Muslims are not going to go there to settle
anytime soon. At the same
time where Muslims are minority, their population continues to grow at
faster rate than the host country. In
1947 India had 10% Muslims; now they constitute 13% of the population.
Similar increases are observed in the US and most if not all
The reason for this inexorable
march towards Islamisation is the quaranic order for all Muslims to
establish one and only one nation under the rule of Allah on this earth if
not the universe. Christianity
is also a monotheist religion but Christians have well developed and
learned the concept of separation of church and state while that concept
is totally foreign to Islam. True,
some people say that Islam is a religion of tolerance but those who do
not, i.e. the Islamic fundamentalists seem to have much more power and
control over the large Muslim population.
So-called moderate Muslims either do not have enough power or guts
or ability or willingness to oppose the fundamentalists.
That may be due to constant threats of punishments or fatwahs from
these fundamentalists. Or it
may be due to the fact that in their hearts (of moderates) they too
believe in one nation under Allah and they either acquiesce fundamentalist
activities and/or covertly support them.
In any case the moderate voice is totally silenced and the march
towards Islam continues to go on.
This process of Islamisation
is very methodical, organized, well funded, persistent, deliberate,
determined and widely distributed. Please
read the article “Creating
An Islamic State”. Also
no part of the world, including the USA is immune to this Islamisation
planning process. Please read
the article “How to make America an Islamic Nation” described in the
website America and Islam; http://www.geocities.com/WestHollywood/Park/6443/America/
on these observations the world between 125 years and 410 years from now
will most likely will be islamized by 2501 AD.
are non-Muslims to do?
In my opinion the recent terrorist activities are nothing but further
manifestation or extension of Islamic fundamentalism.
There have been extensive discussions and proposed solutions for
One popular suggestion is to bring vibrant democracy to these nations.
But the practice proves otherwise.
Pakistan started out with democracy and is now an Islamist state
during both the military and democratic rules.
Bangladesh, Malaysia, Egypt, Indonesia, Nigeria, etc. are
democratic and are sliding towards sharia law.
In fact look at the attached statistics and you will quickly
observe that most of the sharia law countries are democracies.
Another notion is that increased living standards in these countries
would reduce fundamentalism. Again
the reality is starkly different. A
recent study shows that most of the terrorists/fundamentalists come from
either rich or middle class families, a la Bin Laden.
Also Saudi Arabia, a very rich country seems to be awash with
Yet another notion is that higher education will help stem the tide and
yet the reality is otherwise. Most
of the terrorists are well educated.
In fact, in recent times greater democracy, abundant wealth and higher
education seem to accelerate this inexorable propagation of
wealth of Saudi Arabia has very successfully exported its brand of
fundamentalism to many parts of the world including some remote ones.
Western education and technologies are very successfully used by
Islamists to further their goal of world domination in all parts of the
world. Thus billions of
dollars spent for these so-called remedies to stem the Islamist tide may
have exactly opposite effect and may fan the fire of Islamist
Is democracy with separation of church and state the solution?
Or is it internal reform of Islam, i.e. abandon the idea of one
Islamic nation under Allah, respect other religions and live peacefully
with other people? Or will it have to be a forcible containment and/or
reduction of Islamization? I
guess the solution may be combination all of the above alternatives.
hypothesis is obviously dependent upon a big if, if the present population
and Islamisation trends continue. My
opinion is that these trends will continues unless they are opposed with
new deliberation, dedication and determination.
The world better find a solution (s) to this phenomenon.
The alternative is unthinkable.
a list of websites that were used to prepare this article:
List of current Organization of Islamic Countries
Report 2000 on religious freedom in the world.
The Muslim World
Countries of the World
America and Islam
Read also Creating
An Islamic State